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World Cup 2018 Golden Boot Favourites

The World Cup is now just months away and in this edition of Sun Bets’ World Cup preview series, we look at the early favourites for the Golden Boot.

Cristiano Ronaldo

His unique stance over a free kick, his undying pace and peerless trickery make him every inch an international showstopper, and though Ronaldo is now on the wrong side of thirty, the last four years have been some of his best yet as a professional.

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Ronaldo’s only notable contribution to the 2014 World Cup was a meaningless winner against Ghana, as Portugal crashed out on goal difference. However, since the end of that World Cup, Ronaldo has been an important component of Real Madrid’s recent monopoly on the Champions League.

Collectively, Real Madrid have struggled this season, but Ronaldo continues to deliver a goal per game on average. As of the March international break, he is on a streak of eight goalscoring appearances for Real Madrid, the last of which saw him net four in a 6-3 demolition of Girona.

What are the odds on Cristiano Ronaldo winning the World Cup 2018 Golden Boot?

Current World Cup Golden Boot odds show that Ronaldo is 16/1 to win the Golden Boot.

Antoine Griezmann

Griezmann failed to score in the 2014 World Cup, but he has oozed talent from the very first moment he learned to lace a pair of boots. The Atletico Madrid man netted four times during qualification, albeit against inferior opposition, but in his club form he can undoubtedly find the momentum necessary to make the 2018 World Cup a success for himself and his country.

After a disappointing 2016/17 season, in which he failed to get a third consecutive ‘20+’ season, Griezmann is now on course to hit twenty goals. He entered the international break of March 2018 on the back of three goals in as many matches, across all competitions, having also netted all four goals in the recent 4-0 rout of Leganes in La Liga.

What are the odds on Antoine Griezmann winning the World Cup 2018 Golden Boot?

According to the latest World Cup Golden Boot betting markets, Griezmann is 16/1 to win the Golden Boot.


Though the Brazilian side of 2014 fell painfully short of the standards expected, Neymar provided more than a glimpse of what he could do to opposition rearguards. Now twenty-five, and still yet to reach the peak of his terrifying powers, he is thriving at Paris Saint-Germain. Currently averaging a goal per game, the Brazilian has distinctly improved his all-round game after a disappointing 2016/17 season.

Though PSG are now a side without equal in Ligue 1, it is not difficult to spot which player among them became the first £200m man last summer. Unfortunately for a Brazil side in need of redemption, Neymar’s preparations have been disrupted by a fractured metatarsal. The long term implications have yet to be seen, but there have already been several encouraging highlights for Neymar in recent weeks, including two braces at Rennes (league and cup) and a four-goal haul in January’s 8-0 rout of Dijon.

What are the odds on Neymar winning the World Cup 2018 Golden Boot?

Neymar is 12/1 to win the Golden Boot.

Alvaro Morata

As Chelsea’s gravitational hold on the Premier League trophy decays, so too do Alvaro Morata’s credentials as a long-term Premier League player. His strike in the recent F.A Cup quarter final at Leicester broke a goalless streak that threatened to enter a fourth month, in a winter disrupted by injury.

On the international scene, Morata has enjoyed far better form. He finished as one of four Spaniards to net five times during a qualification round that saw Spain sweep to twenty-eight points. With Morata set to lead the line for Spain in one of the easier World Cup groups, there is every chance that Morata could be a good value bet to win the Golden Boot.

What are the odds on Alvaro Morata winning the World Cup 2018 Golden Boot?

Morata is 10/1 to win the Golden Boot.

Lionel Messi

A runner up with his nation in 2014, Messi immediately hit 40+ goals in a season for the third time in his career, and won his seventh La Liga title with Barcelona in 2014/15. Another followed, although he netted only twenty-six times in 2015/16 before returning drastically to full potency with thirty-seven last year.

Messi is on course to at least emulate his haul of last season, and entered the March international break on the back of six consecutive goalscoring appearances for his beloved Barcelona.

What are the odds on Lionel Messi winning the World Cup 2018 Golden Boot?

Messi is 10/1 to win the Golden Boot.

The Rest

There are several other standout players with a significant chance of scooping the Golden Boot. Their odds are as follows:

Thomas Muller

22/1 – He knows what it takes to win a World Cup and has been the terror of the Bundesliga with Bayern over the last four years.

Romelu Lukaku

20/1 – The Belgian beast has shown his worth with a true giant of English football this season, and will prove a handful for England in the final round of group games.

Harry Kane

22/1 – A nation awaits nervously as Kane recovers from an ankle injury which will (at the very least) prevent him from being at peak fitness for the World Cup – but nobody is counting him out.